نتایج جستجو برای: climate scenario
تعداد نتایج: 255407 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Summary The goal of limiting global warming to well below 2°C as set out in the Paris Agreement calls for a strategic assessment societal pathways and policy strategies. Besides makers, new powerful actors from private sector, including finance, have stepped up engage forward-looking assessments Paris-compliant climate-resilient future. Climate change scenarios addressed this demand by...
We present a multi-model ensemble study for the Baltic Sea, and investigate the combined impact of changing climate, external nutrient supply, and fisheries on the marine ecosystem. The applied regional climate system model contains state-of-the-art component models for the atmosphere, sea ice, ocean, land surface, terrestrial and marine biogeochemistry, and marine food-web. Time-dependent scen...
Adding the effects of changes in land cover to the A2 and B1 transient climate simulations described in the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change leads to significantly different regional climates in 2100 as compared with climates resulting from atmospheric SRES forcings alone. Agricultural expansion in the A2 scenario results in significa...
Neutralization theory, which explains internal excuse-making behavior, is adopted from criminology and policy compliance research and theoretically incorporated with a climate of silence model from extant whistleblowing research. Through an empirical test utilizing scenario-based field research, neutralization and climate of silence are demonstrated to jointly predict whistleblowing intentions. *
Predicting long-term consequences of climate change on hydrologic processes has been limited due to the needs to accommodate the uncertainties in hydrological measurements for calibration, and to account for the uncertainties in the models that would ingest those calibrations and uncertainties in climate predictions as basis for hydrological predictions. We implemented a hierarchical Bayesian (...
There is considerable interest in understanding the fate of the Amazon over the coming century in the face of climate change, rising atmospheric CO2 levels, ongoing land transformation, and changing fire regimes within the region. In this analysis, we explore the fate of Amazonian ecosystems under the combined impact of these four environmental forcings using three terrestrial biosphere models ...
Climate change is expected to aggravate feed and food safety problems of crops; however, quantitative estimates are scarce. This study aimed to estimate impacts of climate change effects on deoxynivalenol contamination of wheat and maize grown in the Netherlands by 2040. Quantitative modelling was applied, considering both direct effects of changing climate on toxin contamination and indirect e...
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