نتایج جستجو برای: aogcm
تعداد نتایج: 195 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
A coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) is integrated to a near-equilibrium state with the normal, half-normal, and twice-normal amounts of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Most of the ocean below the surface layers achieves 70% of the total response almost twice as fast when the changes in radiative forcing are cooling as compared to the case when they are warming the cli...
Robust stratospheric temperature trend patterns are suggested in the winter and spring seasons in the Southern Hemisphere high latitudes from the satellite-borne Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) measurement for 1979–2007. These patterns serve as indicators of key processes governing temperature and ozone changes in the Antarctic. The observed patterns are characterized by cooling and warming regio...
We present climatic consequences of the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) using the coupled climate model CLIMBER-3α, which contains a statisticaldynamical atmosphere and a three-dimensional ocean model. We compare those with emulations of 19 state-of-the-art atmosphere-ocean general circulation models (AOGCM) using MAGICC6. The RCPs are designed as standard scenarios for the forthco...
Comparisons are made of long-term empirical and model-estimated patterns of solar irradiance forcing during a 200-year period (1650-1850), which precedes any apparent anthropogenic influence on climate. This interval encompasses a considerable range (approximately 4 W/m) of estimated variation in solar output, including the ‘‘Maunder’’ and ‘‘Dalton’’ Minima of solar irradiance, and an interveni...
5 Climate sensitivity is generally studied using two types of models. Atmosphere-ocean general 6 circulation models (AOGCMs) include interactive ocean dynamics and detailed heat uptake. 7 Atmospheric GCMs (AGCMs) with slab ocean models (SOMs) cannot fully simulate the 8 ocean’s response to and influence on climate. However, AGCMs are cheaper computation9 ally and thus are often used to quantify...
Experiments with CO2 instantaneously quadrupled and then held constant are used to show that the relationship between the global-mean net heat input to the climate system and the global-mean surface air temperature change is nonlinear in phase 5 of theCoupledModel Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) atmosphere– ocean general circulation models (AOGCMs). The nonlinearity is shown to arise from a cha...
Introduction Conclusions References Tables Figures Back Close Full Screen / Esc Abstract Introduction Conclusions References Tables Figures Back Close Full Screen / Esc Printer-friendly Version Interactive Discussion EGU Abstract Atmosphere and Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCM) experiments for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report are analyzed using both 2...
تخمین رطوبت خاک نقش اساسی در مدلسازی هیدرولوژیکی، مدیریت و پیشبینی خشکسالی، تجزیه و تحلیل تغییراقلیم و پشتیبانی از تصمیمگیریهای کشاورزی ایفا میکند. بدینمنظور، با استفاده از تغییرات پارامترهای هواشناسی در دوره آتی، اثر تغییراقلیم بر وضعیت رطوبت خاک با سه مدل و سه سناریو انتشارB1، A2 و A1B بررسی شد. بنابراین، ابتدا مقادیر دما، بارش، رطوبت نسبی، باد و تشعشع تحت این سه سناریو و سه مدل AOGCM ...
امروزه تغییراقلیم در مدیریت منابع آب، یکی از چالشهای اصلی میباشد.این مطالعه با هدف شبیهسازی عملکرد بخش کشاورزی دشت هشتگرد، تحت تأثیر عدم قطعیت تغییراقلیم در دوره آتی (2049-2020 میلادی) انجام گرفته است. بدین منظور از خروجیهای 19 مدل AOGCMs، تحت چهار سناریوی انتشار RCP2.6، RCP4.5، RCP6.0 و RCP8.5 استفاده شد. بهمنظور کمیسازی عدم قطعیت، در تخمین تغییرات دما و بارندگی، تحت تأثیر تغییراقلیم، خر...
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