نتایج جستجو برای: روش mcmc
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In the following article we investigate a particle filter for approximating Feynman-Kac models with indicator potentials and we use this algorithm within Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) to learn static parameters of the model. Examples of such models include approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) posteriors associated with hidden Markov models (HMMs) or rare-event problems. Such models require ...
This paper demonstrates how a human-Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method can be used to investigate models of facial expression categorization. Data were collected from four participants. At each step participants were asked to select a representation from a pair, that most resembled a particular emotional state; this was repeated iteratively. As such, they formed a component in the MCMC proc...
Many Bayesian inference problems involve target distributions whose density functions are computationally expensive to evaluate. Replacing the with a local approximation based on small number of carefully chosen evaluations can significantly reduce computational expense Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. Moreover, continual refinement guarantee asymptotically exact We devise new strategy...
In recent years, stochastic gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) methods have been raised to process large-scale dataset by iterative learning from small minibatches. However, the high variance caused by naive subsampling usually slows down the convergence to the desired posterior distribution. In this paper, we propose an effective subsampling strategy to reduce the variance based on a ...
Sampling from the posterior distribution using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods can require an exhaustive number of iterations to fully explore the correct posterior. This is often the case when the posterior of interest is multi-modal, as the MCMC sampler can become trapped in a local mode for a large number of iterations. In this paper, we introduce the pseudo-extended MCMC method as a...
The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is the computational workhorse for Bayesian inverse problems. However, MCMC struggles in high-dimensional parameter spaces, since its iterates must sequentially explore a high-dimensional space for accurate inference. This struggle is compounded in physical applications when the nonlinear forward model is computationally expensive. One approach to acce...
Spatial whole-brain Bayesian modeling of task-related functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) is a great computational challenge. Most of the currently proposed methods therefore do inference in subregions of the brain separately or do approximate inference without comparison to the true posterior distribution. A popular such method, which is now the standard method for Bayesian single sub...
یکی از شیوههای تجزیه و تحلیل دادههای مالی و بررسی چگونگی تغییرات آنها در طی زمان معین در گذشته و پیشبینی چگونگی رخداد آنها در آینده استفاده از مدلهای سریهای زمانی است. در مباحث مالی بهدلیل ناهمواریانس بودن مشاهدات موجود، نمیتوان از مدلهای سریهای زمانی کلاسیک استفاده کرد. در این حالت، یکی از مدلهای متداول، مدلهای نوع گارچ[i] (GARCH) است که نشاندهنده رده وسیعی از مدلهای اقتصادسن...
Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods make possible the use of flexible Bayesian models that would otherwise be computationally infeasible. In recent years, a great variety of such applications have been described in the literature. Applied statisticians who are new to these methods may have several questions and concerns, however: How much effort and expertise are needed to design and use a ...
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