abstract prediction of input flow into water resources is regarded as one of the most important issues in optimum planning and management in producing electro-water energy and optimum allocation of water into different consumption sources. different parameters affect on input discharge into dams. climate variables including temperature and rainfall have the most effect on input runoff rate to w...

The evolutions of ENSO modes in the seasonal rainfall patterns over East Africa are examined in this study. The study covers the period 1961–1990. Both rotated empirical orthogonal function (EOF) and simple correlation analyses were used to delineate a network of 136 stations over East Africa into homogeneous rainfall regions in order to derive rainfall indices. Time series generated from the d...

African societies are dependent on rainfall for agricultural and other water-dependent activities, yet rainfall is extremely variable in both space and time and reoccurring water shocks, such as drought, can have considerable social and economic impacts. To help improve our knowledge of the rainfall climate, we have constructed a 30 year (1983–2012), temporally consistent rainfall data set for ...

African societies are dependent on rainfall for agricultural and other water-dependent activities, yet rainfall is extremely variable in both space and time and reoccurring water shocks, such as drought, can have considerable social and economic impacts. To help improve our knowledge of the rainfall climate, we have constructed a 30 year (1983–2012), temporally consistent rainfall data set for ...

Vegetation responses and ecosystem function are spatially variable and influenced by climate variability. The Spatial and Temporal Adaptive Reflectance Fusion Model (STARFM) was used to combine MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer) and Landsat TM/ETM+ (Thematic Mapper/ Enhanced Thematic Mapper plus) imagery for an 8 year dataset (2000-2007) at 30m spatial resolution with 8 day interv...

Groundwater, a special hydrological variable and freshwater resource is completely inter-reliant with hydro-metorological, topographic, land use and hydro-geological components of hydrologic cycle. Trend of hydrologic componentsfor future prediction is attempted to confer in this study using Man-Kendall test, linear regression and geometric progression analysis on recorded data collected from r...

The issues of downscaling the results from global climate models (GCMs) to a scale relevant for hydrological impact studies are examined. GCM outputs, typically at a spatial resolution of around 3° latitude and 4° longitude, are currently not considered reliable at time scales shorter than 1 month. Continuous rainfall-runoff modelling for flood regime assessment requires input at the daily or e...

In this work an adaptive linear filter model in a autoregressive moving average (ARMA) topology for forecasting time series is presented. The time series are composed by observations of the accumulative rainfall every month during several years. The learning rule used to adjust the filter coefficients is mainly based on the gradient-descendent method. In function of the long and short term stoc...