in this article, the effectiveness of eight different technical indexes including simple moving average, weighted moving average, exponential moving average, relative strength, commodity channel, stochastic, money flow and demand are examined by comparison between indexes returns with buy and hold returns. the results shows the return of buy and hold strategy is more than technical indexes in t...

Article history: Received 11 October 2012 Received in revised form 3 November 2014 Accepted 3 November 2014 Available online 11 November 2014 In this paper, we investigate the dynamic response of stock market volatility to changes in monetary policy. Using a vector autoregressive model, our findings reveal a significant response of stock returns and volatility to monetary policy shocks. While t...

This paper proposes a new methodology to build composite coincident and leading indexes. Based on a formal definition that requires that the first differences of the leading index is the best linear predictor of the first differences of the coincident index, it is shown that the notion of polynomial serial correlation common features can be used to build these composite variables. Concepts and ...

there are two main reasons for studying investment in an economy. first, the combination of firms? investment demand and household?s saving supply determines how much of an economys? resoures is invested. second, investment is highly volatile; thus investment demand may be important in the short-run fluctuations. the present article examins the relationship and veracity of existence of banks pr...

in this study, we assess the impact of oil price changes on the macroeconomic variables of some oil importers in oecd countries, including usa, italian, france and japan during the period 1960-2002. the results for different countries imply asymmetric impact of oil price changes on gdp growth rates; moreover, the results show that monetary shocks are an important and noticeable factor explainin...