We present probabilistic projections of 21st century climate change over Northern Eurasia using the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Integrated Global System Model (IGSM), an integrated assessment model that couples an Earth system model of intermediate complexity with a two-dimensional zonal-mean atmosphere to a human activity model. Regional climate change is obtained by two downsc...

precipitation data is of utmost importance to carry out many hydro-meteorological studies. observed warming over several decades has been linked to changes in the large-scale hydrological cycle such as: increasing atmospheric water vapour content, changing precipitation patterns, intensity and extremes, reduced snow cover and widespread melting of ice, and changes in soil moisture and runoff. p...

This study provides a comprehensive evaluation of seven Earth System Models (ESMs) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 in present climate conditions from a downscaling perspective, taking into account the requirements of both statistical and dynamical approaches. ECMWF’s ERA-Interim reanalysis is used as reference for an evaluation of circulation, temperature and humidity var...

because of low spatial resolution and simplifications in meteorological processes in global circulation models, they cannot sufficiently simulate the weather, comparing to the regional models; then, spatial and temporal downscaling of the gcm outputs are needed for decreasing errors of the global circulation models. there are two methods of downscaling: statistical and dynamic. weather generato...

Non-linear statistical downscaling of present and LGM precipitation and temperatures over Europe M. Vrac, D. Paillard, and P. Naveau Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE, CEA/CNRS/UVSQ, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL), Centre d’étude de Saclay, Orme des Merisiers, 91191 Gif-Sur-Yvette, France Received: 20 June 2007 – Accepted: 20 June 2007 – Published: 6 July 2007...