N. E. Zimmermann ([email protected]) and P. B. Pearman, Land Use Dynamics, Swiss Federal Research Inst. WSL, Zürcherstrasse 111, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland. T. C. Edwards, U.S. Geological Survey, Utah Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit and Dept of Wildland Resources, Utah State Univ., Logan, UT 84322-5290, USA. C. H. Graham, Dept of Ecology and Evolution, Stony Brook Univ...

While the effects of climate (long-term, prevailing weather) on species abundance, range and genetic diversity have been widely studied, short-term, localized variations in atmospheric conditions (i.e., can also rapidly alter species’ geographical ranges population sizes, but little is known about how they affect diversity. We investigated relationship between weather range-wide a marsupial, Be...

The jaguar, Panthera onca, is a top predator with the extant population found within the Brazilian Caatinga biome now known to be on the brink of extinction. Designing new conservation units and potential corridors are therefore crucial for the long-term survival of the species within the Caatinga biome. Thus, our aims were: 1) to recognize suitable areas for jaguar occurrence, 2) to delineate ...

• CS standardized data outperform opportunistic for SDMs. Opportunistic fail to identify key areas nightingale distribution. Citizen Science projects aimed at SDM should be designed avoid bias. Environmental gradients considered in project designs. Recording species absences could improve quality.

Background Many species are expected to suffer a strong shift in geographic ranges due to climate changes in the next fifty years, depending on their ecological tolerance and current demographical parameters, which were in turn shaped by their evolutionary history. These shifts may also cause a change in genetic population structure and variability, because local extinctions or reduction in fit...

—Stream fish are expected to be influenced by climate change as they are ectothermic animals living in lotic systems. Using fish presence–absence records in 1,110 stream sites across France, our study aimed at (1) modeling current and future distributions of 35 stream fish species, (2) using an ensemble forecasting approach (i.e., several general circulation models [GCM] × greenhouse gas emissi...

Subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forest (EBLF) is one of the most important vegetation types in China. Inferences from palaeo-biome reconstruction (PBR) and phylogeography regarding range shift history of EBLF during the late Quaternary are controversial and should be reconciled. We compared phylogeographic patterns of three EBLF constituents in China, Castanopsis tibetana, Machilus thunbergi...

BACKGROUND This study investigates orbitally-forced range dynamics at a regional scale by exploring the evolutionary history of Nymania capensis (Meliaceae) across the deeply incised landscapes of the subescarpment coastal lowlands of South Africa; a region that is home to three biodiversity hotspots (Succulent Karoo, Fynbos, and Maputaland-Pondoland-Albany hotspots). METHODS A range of metho...

Species Distribution Models (SDMs) are widely used to understand environmental controls on species' ranges and to forecast species range shifts in response to climatic changes. The quality of input data is crucial determinant of the model's accuracy. While museum records can be useful sources of presence data for many species, they do not always include accurate geographic coordinates. Therefor...

The integration of ecological and atmospheric characteristics for biodiversity management is fundamental long-term ecosystem conservation drafting forest strategies, especially in the current era climate change. explicit modelling regional responses their impact on individual species a significant prerequisite any adaptation strategy. present study focuses predicting distribution Rhododendron a...