Recent epidemics of Plasmodium falciparum malaria have been observed in high-altitude areas of East Africa. Increased malaria incidence in these areas of unstable malaria transmission has been attributed to a variety of changes including global warming. To determine whether the reemergence of malaria in western Kenya could be attributed to changes in meteorologic conditions, we tested for trend...

This paper investigates the forecasting accuracy of bankruptcy hazard rate models for U.S. companies over the time period 1962–1999 using both yearly and monthly observation intervals. The contribution of this paper is multiple-fold. One, using an expanded bankruptcy database we validate the superior forecasting performance of Shumway’s (2001) model as opposed to Altman (1968) and Zmijewski (19...

in recent years, the water quality of karun river, iran, has been affected by different pollutant loads such as agricultural drainages, municipal and industrial wastewaters.water quality index (wqi) and gis as an efficient tool can be used to provide necessary support for decisions of the management actions in this river and also capability of time series models can be beneficial for forecastin...

there is different methods for simulating river flow. some of thesemethods such as the process based hydrological models need multiple input data and high expertise about the hydrologic process. but some of the methods such as the regression based and artificial inteligens modelsare applicable even in data scarce conditions. this capability can improve efficiency of the hydrologic modeling in u...

background : zoonotic cutaneous leishmaniasis (zcl), an important public health problem in iran, is sensitive to climate conditions. this study aimed to examine dynamic relations between the climate factors and incidence of zcl in golestan province, northern iran during 2010–2012. methods : data of monthly climatic factors, including temperature variables, relative humidity variables, evaporati...

Precise knowledge ofthe amount of global solar radiation plays an important role in designing solar energy systems. In this study, by using 22-year meteorologicaldata, 19 empirical models were tested for prediction of the monthly mean daily global solar radiation in Tabriz. In addition, various Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were designed for comparison with empirical models. For this p...

Canned African giant snails (brine, egusi and sauce) of low acidity (pH 4.5) were produced using Thermal Death Time (TDT) techniques. Sixty cans each product stored for 6 months at normal temperature (30oC). The physicochemical sensory properties these products evaluated monthly. And also, 28 equally accelerated storage temperatures stress (50, 60, 70 & 80oC) weeks. Changes in pH overal...

The Passive House Planning Package (PHPP) simulation tool is the only authorized software in Australia for Passivhaus (PH) certification. Despite its key role this certification scheme, previous studies have reported significant gaps between simulated and actual performance. To address limitation, study introduces a bottom-up approach to building performance based on dynamic method combined wit...