this paper examines regime shifts in tedpix return and volatility and the effects of positive and negative crude oil shocks and gold price fluctuations on stock market shifts behavior using markov switching egarch model with student’s t-distribution. we detect two episodes of series behavior, one relative to low mean/high variance regime namely bear state and the other to high mean/low variance...

iran’s economy is recognizes as a high inflationary country (for near almost all years after islamic revelation)  which is suffered to external shocks such as external  conflict interactions (for example war and sanctions) and   oil price shocks. therefore, analysis and estimation of money demand in iran should consider above issues in order to have efficient  money supply  policy. this paper, ...

The paper investigates the macroeconomic and financial effects of oil prices shocks in the euro area since its creation in 1999, with a special focus on the recent slump. The analysis is carried out episode by episode, within a time-varying parameter framework, consistent with the view that "not all the oil price shocks are alike", yet without imposing any a priori identification assumption. We...

This paper reexamines the oil price-macroeconomy relationship with rolling Granger causality and structural stability tests. It finds that the relationship broke down amidst the falling oil prices and market collapse of the 1980s, suggesting misspecification of the oil price rather than a weakened relationship. Some proposed respecifications of the oil price yield considerable improvements, alt...

Bank of Canada working papers are theoretical or empirical works-in-progress on subjects in economics and finance. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors. No responsibility for them should be attributed to the Bank of Canada. ii Acknowledgements We thank the editor, three anonymous referees, Dijk and Timo Wollmershäuser as well as numerous conference and seminar participants...

The study examines the asymmetric effect of oil price on exchange rate and stock using Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributive Lag (NARDL) technique time-series data spanning from January 1996 to September 2020. multivariate cointegration test showed evidence a long-run relationship among price, rate, price. linear Granger causality that is granger caused by cause rate. nonlinear nonlinearity BDS...

The current study investigates the impact of real oil price shocks on Eurozone banking sector from February 2009 to 2022, using Structural Vector Autoregressive method distinguish reaction between bank indices and three structural indicators in market shocks. include global demand, supply shock, specific Our findings show that responds positively toward an oil-specific demand shock (oil price) ...

The inconclusiveness of findings from various studies on Nigeria the effect crude oil price fluctuation stock market has led to an argument in literature, thus necessitating further exploration subject. This study examines variations selected performance variables using monthly frequency data covering January 1997 December 2016. Variance decomposition, impulse response analysis, and VAR estimat...