The spread of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) among domestic poultry and wild birds has caused global concern over the outbreak of an influenza pandemic of H5N1. The “Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Action Plan” determines the strategy against an influenza pandemic in Japan. Simulations were carried out using an individual based model (IBM). The IBM targeted a virtual area with a p...

The main objective of this study was to evaluate what would be the economic and environmental consequences of losing the GMO traits in the U.S. for the major crops of corn, soybeans, and cotton. The first step was to obtain from the literature a range of estimates of the yield loses if we move away from GMO traits in the U.S. The second step was to introduce the yield losses obtained in the fir...

Processing of meat and crops accounts for a large share of manufacturing in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The paper assesses empirically the impact of hypothesized productivity change in agro-food processing on growth, trade, employment, and input and output prices in SSA, using a 13 commodity, 7 region version of the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) applied general equilibrium model with a 199...

World food trade patterns have changed in the last 40 years with the share of world trade comprised of bulk commodities falling, and the share of world food trade comprised of processed commodities rising. These changes have been driven by a combination of supply and demand forces. On the demand side, world demand for livestock products and more highly processed food products has been rising mo...

Commercial Links between Western Europe and East Asia: Retrospect and Prospect by Kym Anderson and Joseph F. Francois East Asia has rapidly become the third centre of gravity for global economic activity. North America is relatively well integrated with East Asia, but Europe is not. This paper explores the extent to which economic growth and trade policy developments over the next decade or so ...

This paper produces a new dataset to further the literature on the behavior of multinational firms. The Eurostat database, with a large number of sector-level, bilateral observations on foreign affiliate sales, provides a basis from which to extrapolate the relationships between various host and source country factors and the foreign affiliate activity produced by them. This paper exploits the ...

Abstract The direct impacts of climate change on crop yields and human health are individually well-studied, but the interaction between two have received little attention. Here we analyze consequences global warming for agricultural workers crops they cultivate using a economic model (GTAP) with explicit treatment physiological heat stress humans’ ability to work. Based metrics labor functions...

Because of the important role that transportation, wholesaling, and retailing activities, commonly referred to as distribution or marketing activities, play most economies, a project is underway to develop a GTAP model and database that includes domestic margins. This paper reports on the type of margin data that has been collected and draws some general conclusions that will be useful in devel...

In the context of the Doha Development Round, the vast majority of computable general equilibrium studies examine agricultural trade led gains to developing countries, whilst European Union based studies are scarce and only one assessment exists in the case of Spain. This study also focuses on Spain, whilst developing the literature in two ways. Firstly, a more realistic representation of the a...

The potential impact of climate change on agriculture has been one the most discussed topics in literature change. Although possible impacts crop yields have widely studied, there remains little quantitative understanding heterogeneous economic responses to climate-induced yield changes different economies, particularly at higher levels warming. This study assesses eight scenarios warming, from...