Expensive computer codes, particularly those used for simulating environmental or geological processes, such as climate models, require calibration (sometimes called tuning). When calibrating expensive simulators using uncertainty quantification methods, it is usually necessary to use a statistical model called an emulator in place of the computer code when running the calibration algorithm. Th...

During 2000-2001, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), in cooperation with the Ocean Modeling and Prediction Division of the U.S. Naval Oceanographic Office (NAVOCEANO), constructed tidal gages at the East Pearl River at CSX Railroad near Claiborne, Mississippi, at the Rigolets at CSX Railroad near Rigolets, Louisiana, and at the Chef Menteur Pass at CSX Railroad at Chef Menteur, Louisiana, to co...

Atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) data for the last 420 million years (My) show long-term fluctuations related to supercontinent cycles as well as shorter cycles at 26 to 32 My whose origin is unknown. Periodicities of 26 to 30 My occur in diverse geological phenomena including mass extinctions, flood basalt volcanism, ocean anoxic events, deposition of massive evaporites, sequence boundaries, a...

Again this year, abstracts from the annual Atlantic Universities Geological Conference (AUGC) are published in Atlantic Geology. This provides a permanent record of the abstracts, and also focuses attention on the excellent quality of the presentations and posters and the interesting and varied geoscience that they cover. The abstracts are published with fi nancial assistance from APICS. THE ED...

Petroleum exploration is an economical activity where many billions of dollars are invested every year. Despite these enormous investments, it is still considered a classical example of decision making under uncertainty. In this paper, a new hybrid fuzzy-probabilistic methodology is proposed and the implementation of a software tool for assessing the risk of petroleum prospects is described. Th...

Subsurface models are generally built from both subjective interpretation and mathematical interpolation/extrapolation techniques. These models are therefore uncertain, but their uncertainty is rarely expressed in a geological forecast. In this paper, an evaluation method of geological uncertainties related to 3-D subsurface models is proposed and tested on a real case. This method is based on ...

The orbital motion of the planets in the Solar System is chaotic. As a result, initially close orbits diverge exponentially with a characteristic Lyapunov time of 5 Ma. This sensitivity to initial conditions will limit the possibility of obtaining an accurate solution for the orbital and precessional motion of the Earth over more than 35– 50 Ma. The principal sources of uncertainty in the model...

Hazard analysts and risk managers of natural perils, such as earthquakes, landslides and floods, need to access information from sensor networks surveying their regions of interest. However, currently information about these networks is difficult to obtain and is available in varying formats, thereby restricting accesses and consequently possibly leading to decision-making based on limited info...

Integrating geological concepts, such as relative positions and proportions of the different lithofacies, is of highest importance in order to render realistic geological patterns. The truncated plurigaussian simulation method provides a way of using both local and conceptual geological information to infer the distributions of the facies and then those of hydraulic parameters. The method (Le L...

Abstract Underground CO 2 storage is a promising technology for mitigating climate change. In this vein, the subsurface condition was inherited lot of uncertainties that prevent success project. Therefore, study aims to build 3D model under geological enhancing capacity in Shahejie Formation (Es1), Nv32 block, China. The well logs, seismic data, and data were used construction 3-D petrophysical...