OBJECTIVE To examine the effect of the application, and removal, in the Northern Territory of a levy on the sale of cask wine--a beverage shown to contribute disproportionately to alcohol-related harm. METHOD Using data on licensee purchases of alcoholic beverages and ABS population data, estimates were made of per capita consumption of pure alcohol by beverage type. Time series variables wer...

The geometric process is widely applied as a stochastic monotone model in many practical applications since its introduction. However, it sometimes does not satisfy some requirements the real-world due to limitations. For this reason, proposed new which called doubly process. In of process, estimation problem associated with arises naturally. study, statistical inference for considered by assum...

Simple exponential smoothing (SES) methods are the most commonly used methods in forecasting and time series analysis. However, they are generally insensitive to non-stationary structural events such as level shifts, ramp shifts, and spikes or impulses. Similar to that of outliers in stationary time series, these non-stationary events will lead to increased level of errors in the forecasting pr...

BACKGROUND Scientific research into mental health outcomes following trauma is undergoing a revolution as scientists refocus their efforts to identify underlying dimensions of health and psychopathology. This effort is in stark contrast to the previous focus which was to characterize individuals based on Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM) diagnostic status (Insel et al....

Author affiliations: Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, Paris, France (A. Birgy, P. Bidet, S. Bonacorsi); Université Paris Diderot, Paris (A. Birgy, P. Bidet, S. Bonacorsi); Hôpital Universitaire Robert-Debré, Paris (A. Birgy, P. Bidet, S. Bonacorsi); Association Clinique Thérapeutique Infantile du Val de Marne, Saint Maur des Fossés, France (C. Levy, E. Sobral, R. Cohen...

The Rotary-Draw Bending (RDB) process is a distinguished process employed for the precision cold bending of a hollow tube with small radius bends using Numerical Control (NC) machines. This research presents an analytical model based on the power law hardening model for the RDB processing of rectangular thin tubes. Based on the constraints of the tube in the dies and its thinness, the plane str...

We study the phase transition between survival and extinction in an epidemic process with long-range interactions and immunization. This model can be viewed as the well-known general epidemic process (GEP) in which nearestneighbor interactions are replaced by Levy flights over distances r which are distributed as P (r) ∼ r. By extensive numerical simulations we confirm previous fieldtheoretical...

Are laws made by voters or industry? Here, we address this question in the context of copyright levies. Many Western countries allow private copying subject to a compulsory copyright levy. Applying political economy analysis, we show that (i) content producers always prefer a copyright levy to no levy; and (ii) if ethical costs are high, the median voter will prefer a copyright levy, while the ...