This paper examines volatility spillovers between the stock and currency markets of ten Asian economies in the period 2003 to 2014. To carry out this analysis, a multivariate asymmetric GARCH model is used. In general, our results present evidence of bidirectional volatility spillovers between both markets, independently of the individual country’s level of development. Additionally, our findin...

This paper presents a simultaneous model of exchange rates between the US dollar, German mark and Japanese yen. In addition to incorporating long-run equilibria and short-run dynamics, the model is designed to capture complex interaction between currencies not normally considered in exchange rate models. The model is demonstrated to be an economically and statistically superior forecasting tool...

The seminal work of Engel (1999) establishes a method for measuring the contributions of traded goods and nontraded goods to the fluctuation of real exchange rates. Two difficulties arise: the assumed price aggregation is likely biased, and the needed data on non-traded goods price is often limited. The present work overcomes these difficulties, as follows. First we generalize Engel’s exchange ...

This paper develops a real options model to investigate the relationship between exchange rate movements and the occurrence of price dumping. Our results reveal that the effect of exchange rate volatility on the probability of dumping occurrence is ambiguous, depending on the level of exchange rate. The appreciation of the importing country’s currency tends to have a positive impact on the prob...

Inflation targeting is gaining popularity as a framework for conducting monetary policy. At the same time many countries employ some sort of foreign exchange intervention policy assuming that these two policies can coexist. This paper attempts to show that both policies are not sustainable. Israel is a classic test case. We test our hypothesis using information from the financial markets. The r...

Using a structural VAR with block exogeneity, diagonality and identifying restrictions, this paper analyzes: first, the macroeconomic linkages among the oil price, U.S. output, interest rate, money supply, general price level and exchange rate and second, the relationships of the macroeconomic variables with the price indices of ten international nonfuel commodity groups. By assuming the block ...

Given the increasing importance of achieving low and stable inflation rate during the last decades, adopting the most suitable practices to implement monetary policies has always been of concern by monetary authorities of different countries. Inflation targeting (IT) regime is the most recent strategy to guide monetary policies that have been introduced following the occurrence of exchange rate...

â â â â â â â â â â â  â  abstract â  the foreign exchange market (fx market) accounts for 40% of the total volume of the world’s e-commerce by its own. based on statistics, sometimes up to 90 per cent of the traders lose their total capital in this market just within six months to one year and leave this market. the probability of loss in the fx market can be estimated by probability theory....

A Search Model of Unemployment and Inflation In this paper, I introduce money in the standard labor-matching model (Mortensen and Pissarides 1999, Pissarides 2000). A double coincidence problem makes Fiat Money necessary as a medium of exchange. In the long-run, a rise in the rate of money growth leads to higher inflation and higher unemployment, so the long-run Phillips curve is not vertical. ...