We develop a multi-sector sticky-price DSGE model that can endogenously deliver differential responses of prices to aggregate and sectoral shocks. Input-output production linkages induce across-sector pricing complementarities that contribute to a slow response of prices to aggregate shocks. In turn, labor-market segmentation at the sectoral level induces within-sector pricing substitutability,...

We construct a two-country DSGE model with multiple stages of processing and localcurrency staggered price-setting to study cross-country quantity correlations driven by monetary shocks. The model embodies a mechanism that propagates a monetary surprise in the home country to lower the foreign price level while restraining the home price level from rising too quickly; and, it does so through re...

The relation between macroeconomic fundamentals and the cross section of asset returns is studied through the lens of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. We provide a full-information Bayesian estimation of the model using seven macroeconomic variables and extract the time series of three fundamental shocks to the economy for the period of 1966Q1-2010Q3: neutral technology (NT...

This paper models flows of foreign direct investment (FDI) in a two country, two sector DSGE framework. The allocation of capital to production capacity abroad is subject to a search-and-matching friction with endogenous capital reallocation. The model is calibrated on observed inflows and outflows of FDI and leads to dynamics of foreign direct investment consistent with the empirical evidence ...

We provide evidence on the dynamic behavior of net labor flows across US states in response to a positive technology shock. Technology shocks are identified as disturbances that increase relative state productivity in the long run for 226 state-pairs encompassing 80 percent of labor flows across US states in the period 1976 2008. The data suggest heterogeneous responses of both employment and n...

Tinbergen Rules the Taylor Rule by Thomas R. Michl JEL E12, E52

We estimate a behavioral New Keynesian (NK) model in which households and firms plan over finite horizon. The finite-horizon planning (FHP) outperforms rational expectations versions of the NK as well other models. In FHP model, are forward-looking thinking about events their horizon but backward-looking regarding beyond that point. This gives rise to substantial aggregate persistence without r...

We examine optimal and other monetary policies in a linear-quadratic setup with a relatively general form of model uncertainty, so-called Markov jump-linear-quadratic systems extended to include forward-looking variables and unobservable “modes.” The form of model uncertainty our framework encompasses includes: simple i.i.d. model deviations; serially correlated model deviations; estimable regi...

The author of this article draws special attention to two particular claims the free bankers concerning supposed working characteristics a fractional-reserve banking system which may strike reader as questionable. first these relates alleged absence real-balance effect under banking. second bankers’ reference Walras’ Law providing rationale for system’s «offsetting» actions when confronted with...

Tractable Latent State Filtering for Non-Linear DSGE Models Using a Second-Order Approximation* This paper develops a novel approach for estimating latent state variables of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models that are solved using a second-order accurate approximation. I apply the Kalman filter to a statespace representation of the second-order solution based on the ‘pruning’ ...