نتایج جستجو برای: arfima

تعداد نتایج: 289  

2013
XIAOBING CHENG

The R/S test has been extensively used in testing the long memory of financial time series, but little attentions have been paid on its validity. The paper sets the chemical raw materials styrene price time series as an example, to test the stable of the price series. It indicates that we should give prudent explanation for the R/S test, and then establish the ARFIMA model to determine the data...

2007
YangQuan Chen Rongtao Sun Anhong Zhou

This paper presents a brief overview of some existing fractional order signal processing (FOSP) techniques where the developments in the mathematical communities are introduced; relationship between the fractional operator and long-range dependence is demonstrated, and fundamental properties of each technique and some of its applications are summarized. Specifically, we presented a tutorial on ...

Journal: :Canadian journal of experimental psychology = Revue canadienne de psychologie experimentale 2006
Loïc Lemoine Kjerstin Torre Delignières Didier

A number of recent papers have suggested that the series of time intervals produced in continuation tapping may have fractal properties. This proposition, nevertheless, was only based on the visual appraisal of graphical results, and was not statistically supported. In the present study, we applied the ARMA/ARFIMA modeling procedures proposed by Wagenmakers, Farrell, and Ratcliff (2005) to test...

1999
Nuno Crato

Nonstationary ARIMA processes and nearly nonstationary ARMA processes, such as autoregressive processes having a root of the AR polynomial close to the unit circle, have sample autocovariance and spectral properties that are, in practice, almost indistinguishable from those of a stationary longmemory process, such as a Fractionally Integrated ARMA (ARFIMA) process. Because of this, model misspe...

2001
Peter C.B. Phillips Offer Lieberman

The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the fractional difference parameter in the Gaussian ARFIMA(0, d, 0) model is well known to be asymptotically N(0, 6/π). This paper develops a second order asymptotic expansion to the distribution of this statistic. The correction term for the density is shown to be independent of d, so that the MLE is second order pivotal for d. This feature of the MLE ...

Journal: :Mathematics and Computers in Simulation 2002
Y. K. Tse Vo V. Anh Quang Minh Tieng

In this paper we examine the ̄nite-sample properties of the approximate maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of the fractional di®erencing parameter d in an ARFIMA(p, d, q) model based on the wavelet coe±cients. Ignoring wavelet coe±cients of higher order of resolution, the remaining wavelet coe±cients approximate a sample of independently and identically distributed normal variates with homogeneo...

Journal: :Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 2008

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه سمنان - دانشکده علوم انسانی 1393

در این تحقیق به بررسی حافظه بلند بودن نرخ ارز غیررسمی ایران و تأثیر تکانه های نرخ ارز بر نااطمینانی اسمی آن پرداخته شده است؛ برای این منظور از داده های ماهیانه نرخ ارز غیررسمی طی دوره زمانی 1359- 1388 استفاده شده است. در ابتدا برای بررسی مانایی سری نرخ ارز غیررسمی سه آزمون دیکی فولر تعمیم یافته، فیلیپس پرون و kpss انجام شد و از این آزمون ها به این نتیجه رسیدیم که سری نرخ ارز غیر رسمی در ایران ...

ژورنال: :دانش مالی تحلیل اوراق بهادار 2012
اکبر کمیجانی اسماعیل نادری

این مقاله با هدف معرفی یک الگوی مناسب جهت پیش­بینی شاخص بازدهی بورس اوراق بهادار تهران صورت پذیرفته است. داده­های مورد استفاده در این پژوهش به صورت روزانه و شامل بازه­ی زمانی پنجم فروردین 1388 تا سی­ام آبان 1390 که مشتمل بر 616 مشاهده بوده که جهت مجزا سازی پیش­بینی­های داخل نمونه­ای و خارج از نمونه­ای، از تقریباً 90% از مشاهدات (556 مشاهده) جهت تخمین ضرایب مدل و از مابقی (60 مشاهده) جهت انجام پی...

2008
Kjerstin TORRE Viktor Jirsa Lieke Peper Jean-Jacques Temprado

The aim of this paper was to evaluate the performances of ARFIMA modelling for detecting long-range dependence and estimating fractal exponents. More specifically, our aim was to test the procedure proposed by Wagenmakers, Farrell and Ratcliff (2005), and to compare the results obtained with the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and the Bayes Information Criterion (BIC). The present studies sh...

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