In this study, we conducted an oil prices forecasting competition among a set of structural models, including vector autoregression and dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Our results highlight two principles. First, forecasts should exploit the fact that real are mean reverting over long horizons. Second, models not replicate high volatility observed in samples. By following ...

Social capital plays a role in many desirable economic outcomes. We analyze how these beneficial effects translate into the performance of economies by developing dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model featuring social explaining Solow residual. then simulate and estimate with Bayesian techniques using Italian data. Our framework fits actual data better than standard DSGE model, su...