This paper presents a lattice algorithm for pricing both Europeanand American-style moving average barrier options (MABOs). We develop a finite-dimensional partial differential equation (PDE) model for discretely monitored MABOs and solve it numerically by using a forward shooting grid method. The modeling PDE for continuously monitored MABOs has infinite dimensions and cannot be solved directl...

We introduce a method of accurately and efficiently modeling a large population of participants in a financial market. Each participant is modeled as having an internal preference state affected by the continual arrival of exogenous information and by the behavior of others. In order to describe a community of traders, we introduce a population equation that is derived rigorously from the under...

This note investigates long-run exclusion in a cointegrated vector autoregressive (VAR) model from the viewpoint of …nite-sample statistical inference. Monte Carlo experiments show that, in various circumstances, a mis-speci…ed partial VAR model, which is justi…ed by the existence of a long-run excluded variable, can lead to better …nite-sample inference for cointegrating rank than a fully-spec...

This paper studies discounted stochastic games with perfect or imperfect public monitoring and the opportunity to conduct voluntary monetary transfers. We show that for all discount factors every public perfect equilibrium payoff can be implemented with a simple class of equilibria that have a stationary structure on the equilibrium path and optimal penal codes with a stick and carrot structure...

Computing equilibria in general equilibria models with incomplete asset (GEI) markets is technically difficult. The standard numerical methods for computing these equilibria are based on homotopy methods. Despite recent advances in computational economics, much more can be done to enlarge the catalog of techniques for computing GEI equilibria. This paper presents an interior point algorithm tha...

In order to contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of the robustness of the quantitative results of applied trade policy simulations to variations in the assumptions about firm conduct, this article provides a systematic synopsis of alternative formulations of imperfectly competitive supply behaviour in applied general equilibrium trade models and examines the sensitivity of simulated...

This paper derives semi-analytical pricing formulae for geometric average options (GAO) within a stochastic volatility framework. Assuming a general mean reverting process for the underlying asset and a square-root process for the volatility, the cross-moment generating function is derived and the cumulative probabilities are recovered using the Gauss-Laguerre quadrature rule. Fixed and floatin...

We propose an analytical approximation of the term structure of interest rates under general diffusion processes of the short-rate and state variables. A method of approximating conditional moments as the solution to a system of ordinary differential equations is applied to the pricing of bonds. Numerical experiments based on two illustrative models show that the second-order approximation is a...

This paper proposes using computational learning theory (CLT) as a framework for analyzing the information processing behavior of firms; we argue that firms can be viewed as learning algorithms. The costs and benefits of processing information are linked to the structure of the firm and its relationship with the environment. We model the firm as a type of artificial neural network (ANN). By a s...

In a Bayesian analysis, different models can be compared on the basis of the expected or marginal likelihood they attain. Many methods have been devised to compute the marginal likelihood, but simplicity is not the strongest point of most methods. At the same time, the precision of methods is often questionable. In this paper several methods are presented in a common framework. The explanation ...