One of the main applications of science and engineering is to predict future value of different quantities of interest. In the traditional statistical approach, we first use observations to estimate the parameters of an appropriate model, and then use the resulting estimates to make predictions. Recently, a relatively new predictive approach has been actively promoted, the approach where we mak...

Many species are shifting their distributions due to climate change and to increasing international trade that allows dispersal of individuals across the globe. In the case of agricultural pests, such range shifts may heavily impact agriculture. Species distribution modelling may help to predict potential changes in pest distributions. However, these modelling strategies are subject to large un...

This paper discusses the nature and consequences of uncertainty in transport systems. Drawing on work from a number of fields, it addresses travellers’ abilities to predict variable phenomena, their perception of uncertainty, their attitude to risk and the various strategies they might adopt in response to uncertainty. It is argued that despite the increased interest in the representation of un...

1. Bioclimate envelope models are widely used to predict the potential distribution of species under climate change, but they are conceptually also suitable tomatch policies and practices to anticipated or observed climate change, for example through species choice in reforestation. Projections of bioclimate envelope models, however, come with large uncertainties due to different climate change...

This paper discusses the nature and consequences of uncertainty in transport systems. Drawing on work from a number of fields, it addresses travellers’ abilities to predict variable phenomena, their perception of uncertainty, their attitude to risk and the various strategies they might adopt in response to uncertainty. It is argued that despite the increased interest in the representation of un...

In this paper we will show how Global Positioning Services (GPS) data obtained from smartphones can be used to model air quality in urban settings. The paper examines the uncertainty of smartphone location utilising GPS, and ties this location uncertainty to air quality models. The results presented in this paper indicates that the location error from using smartphones is within the accuracy ne...

This paper presents an approach that is based on the combined use of Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory and fuzzy sets for improving automatic detection of weld defects. It consists in modelling detection uncertainty in feature space through using the mass function weighted by membership degrees, and fusing the features of objects using DS combination rule. The method is demonstrated on the typical in...

A methodology for modelling and designing H∞ controllers for an experimental pilot-scale flotation column plant is described. Experimental results, including the modelling procedure and an H∞ design, are presented. For this purpose, different models, for different operating conditions, are determined, by means of system identification techniques. A strategy to get the uncertainty model, using a...

In this demo, we present the implementation of a novel Agent-based Modelling and Simulation approach for the Schema Matching problem called “Schema Matching Agent-based Simulation” (SMAS). Our solution aims at generating high quality schema matchings with minimum uncertainty. As far as we know, there is no previous literature describing a solution approaching the Automatic Schema Matching and M...