Forecasting markets are a promising approach for predicting future events. The basic idea of a forecasting market is to trade virtual stocks whose final value is tied to a particular future event. The market prices can then be interpreted as predictions of the probability of those future events. The results of recent studies on forecasting markets are encouraging. However, various design issues...

Third parties such as trade associations often assist cartels by collecting and evaluating market behaviour at the firm level. Under incomplete information neutral market oversight helps to distinguish defecting from complying behaviour, increasing the effectiveness of punishments for defectors and increasing cartel persistence. We investigate how cartels sort themselves into different organiza...

This study is devoted to analyzing the development of the GKO market in Russia. The period of time considered is September 1996-September 1997. Interaction of two segments of the market is analyzed: futures market and secondary market. It is proved that there exists a risk premium on the futures market that leads to underpricing on the futures market. That is the futures price is no longer an u...

Using a new hand-collected data set, this study examines the stock price manipulation in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TSE). We examine the characteristics of the manipulated stocks, and their impacts on market quality. The results show that manipulated stocks tend to be small. The stock prices rise throughout the manipulation period, followed by a price reversal. The average cumulative abnormal r...

The efficient market hypothesis has been widely tested and, with few exceptions, found consistent with the data in a wide variety of markets: the New York and American Stock Exchanges, the Australian, English, and German stock markets, various commodity futures markets, the Over-theCounter markets, the corporate and government bond markets, the option market, and the market for seats on the New...