Supply chain optimization for biomass-based power plants is an important research area due to greater emphasis on renewable power energy sources. This paper develops a robust quantile-based approach for stochastic optimization under uncertainty, which builds upon scenario analysis. We apply our approach to address the problem of analyzing competing biomass supply chains subject to stochastic de...

Objective To perform cost utility (CU) and budget impact (BI) analyses augmented by scenario analyses of critical model structure components to evaluate racecadotril as adjuvant to oral rehydration solution (ORS) for children under 5 years with acute diarrhea in Malaysia. Methods A CU model was adapted to evaluate racecadotril plus ORS vs ORS alone for acute diarrhea in children younger than ...

This paper presents a systematic scenario analysis of how different levels of short-term 2020 emissions would impact the technological and economic feasibility of achieving the 2 C target in the long term. We find that although a relatively wide range of emissions in 2020—from 41 to 55 billion tons of carbon dioxide equivalent (Gt CO2e yr−1)—may preserve the option of meeting a 2 C target, the ...

Choosing a proper external risk measure is of great regulatory importance, as exemplified in the Basel II and Basel III Accords, which use value-at-risk with scenario analysis as the risk measures for setting capital requirements. We argue that a good external risk measure should be robust with respect to model misspecification and small changes in the data. A new class of data-based risk measu...

In this paper we present our ideas for conducting a cost benefit analysis by using three different methods: scenario analysis, decision trees and simulation. Then we introduce our case study and examine these methods in a real world situation. We show how these tools can be used and what the results are for each of them. Our aim is to conduct a comparison of these different probabilistic method...

In the domain of Ambient Intelligence, research goals are many times driven by scenarios that help envisage a world enriched by ambient, pervasive, intelligent services. So far, scenarios have most times presented the perception that one person has upon the system, with few details on how the system should work in the background in order to deal with realistic requirements. In this paper, start...

The theory of functionally generated portfolios (FGPs) is an aspect of the continuous-time, continuouspath Stochastic Portfolio Theory of Robert Fernholz. FGPs have been formulated to yield a master equation a description of their return relative to a passive (buy-and-hold) benchmark portfolio serving as the numéraire. This description has proven to be analytically very useful, as it is both pa...