Lundblad(2007,JFE) shows that the risk-return tradeoff is unequivocally positive with a two-century history of equity market data. A further examination of the relation with the UK monthly stock returns from 1836 to 2010 produces rather weak risk-return relation. I show that the risk-return relation is mostly positive but varies considerably over time based on a new nonlinear ICAPM with multiva...

“Integrated Enterprise Balancing with integrated return and risk databases” To support a value-based management and to satisfy regulatory transparency requirements and legal reporting obligations, corporations require a corporate-wide consistent database with return and risk information. Despite existing technical integration approaches, such as datawarehouse or OLAP solutions, the development ...

Water resources design has widely used the average return period as a concept to inform management and communication of the risk of experiencing an exceedance event within a planning horizon. Even though nonstationarity is often apparent, in practice hydrologic design often mistakenly assumes that the probability of exceedance, p, is constant from year to year which leads to an average return p...

The importance of funded private or occupational old age provision will increase due to demographic changes and the resulting problems for government-run pay-as-you-go systems. Clients and advisors therefore need reliable methodologies to match offered products and clients’ needs and risk appetite. In this paper, we analyze existing approaches such as sample illustrations and historical backtes...

Can consumption growth risk (or consumption beta) serve a better measure of risk than market beta? This paper answers this question by testing and comparing the performance of the traditional Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and consumption-based CAPM (CCAPM) across seven financial market sub-sectors in the emerging Taiwan stock market. The empirical performance of the CAPM is encouraging. Th...

Though traditionally, stock markets have been the best haven for investors, in recent years the concept of risk has been brought home to investors. With the stock markets crashing from over 11,000 to under 8,000 and then crossing 10,000 in less than three years, many investors are considering non-stock investments as an alternative to traditional equity markets that have been highly volatile in...

This article proposes a flexible but parsimonious specification of the joint dynamics of market risk and return to produce forecasts of a time-varying market equity premium. Our parsimonious volatility model allows components to decay at different rates, generates mean-reverting forecasts, and allows variance targeting. These features contribute to realistic equity premium forecasts for the U.S...