In "The Equity Risk Premium: A Pmxle', Mehra and Prescott (1985) developed an ArrowDebreu asset pricing model. They rejected it because it could not explain high enough equity risk premia. They concluded that only non-Arrow-Debreu models would solve this 'puzzle'. Here, I re-specify their model, capturing the effects of possible, though unlikely, market crashes. While maintaining their model's ...

Existing empirical research investigating the size of the equity premium has largely consisted of a series of innovations around a common theme: producing a better estimate of the equity premium by using better data or a better estimation technique. The equity premium estimate that emerges from most of this work matches one moment of the data alone: the mean difference between an estimate of th...

This issue brief explains how the Medicare Part D low income benchmark premium is calculated, what factors influence the level of the low-income benchmark premium in any given year, and the implications of the benchmark amount for Medicare drug plans and beneficiaries as it changes from year to year. The paper provides a simplified, two-year example of how the low-income benchmark premium is ca...

We compare the experimental results of three stag-hunt games. In contrast to Battalio et al. (2001), our design keeps the riskiness ratio of the payoff-dominant and the risk-dominant strategies at a constant level as the optimisation premium is increased. We define the riskiness ratio as the relative payoff range of the two strategies. We find that decreasing the riskiness We would like to than...

This paper discusses the conditions under which a risk premium is incorporated in the forward exchange rate. A new condition for the existence of a risk premium is proposed. We show that earlier models of the risk premium, which emphasize either the role of net foreign investment or of the relative supplies of ‘outside* assets, are not suited for assessing the effects of changes in macroeconomi...

Executive Summary • Issuers and states faced considerable challenges in 2018 due to federal policy changes and uncertainty, including reduced carrier participation and the need to make premium work-arounds to address the removal of direct federal funding for the cost-sharing reduction (“CSR”) program. For those receiving subsidies, their premium cost fell on average 3 percent in federally facil...

Using comprehensive company-level ownership data from Japan, the authors found that the equity size premium correlates strongly with the investment flows of international institutional investors. When investment flows intensified and shifted into larger stocks in the mid-1990s, the equity size premium was reversed. Their findings suggest that a large fraction of the time variation in the size p...

Because of payoff uncertainties combined with risk aversion and/or real options, farmers may demand a premium in order to adopt conservation tillage practices, over and above the compensation for the expected profit losses (if any). We propose a method of directly estimating the financial incentives for adopting conservation tillage and distinguishing between the expected payoff and premium of ...