This paper studies the potential for liquidity crises and their impact on the course of monetary and exchange rate policies in a microfounded general equilibrium dynamic model in the tradition of Diamond and Dybvig (1983) and Chang and Velasco (2000). We produce a small open economy pure exchange overlapping generations model with random relocation along the lines of Smith (2002). The combinati...

Recent theoretical work indicates that when firms set nominal prices in advance they are exposed to business cycle risk. Risk averse firms with market power may set relatively high markups over marginal cost to offset this risk. An appropriate monetary policy could reduce the risk of pre-set nominal prices. This paper uses industry-level panel data to estimate how the exchange rate regime affec...

This paper analyzes the stabilizing properties of alternative monetary policy regimes. In practice there is a choice between two broad types of monetary policy regimes: a fixed exchange rate regime or a floating exchange rate regime. In this paper I compare exchange rate targeting with different floating exchange rate regimes: strict price level targeting, flexible price level targeting and out...

A major puzzle in international finance is the well-documented inability of models based on monetary fundamentals to produce better out-of-sample forecasts of the nominal exchange rate than a naive random walk. While this literature has generally employed statistical measures of forecast accuracy, we investigate whether there is any economic value to the predictive power of monetary fundamental...