| This paper presents a methodology to speed up the stationary analysis of large Markov chains that model asynchronous systems. Instead of directly working on the original Markov chain, we propose to analyze a smaller Markov chain obtained via a novel technique called state compression. Once the smaller chain is solved, the solution to the original chain is obtained via a process called expansi...

This paper presents a methodology to speed up the stationary analysis of large Markov chains that model asynchronous systems. Instead of directly working on the original Markov chain, we propose to analyze a smaller Markov chain obtained via a novel technique called string-based state compression. Once the smaller chain is solved, the solution to the original chain is obtained via a process cal...

This paper presents a methodology to speed up the stationary behavior analysis of large Markov chains that model asynchronous systems. Instead of directly working on the original Markov chain, we propose to analyze a smaller Markov chain obtained via a novel technique called string-based state compression. Once the smaller chain is solved, the solution to the original chain is obtained via a pr...

This paper proposes the use of absorbing Markov chains to solve the capacity constrained transit network loading problem taking common lines into account. The approach handles congested transit networks, where some passengers will not be able to board because of the absence of sufficient space. The model also handles the common lines problem, where choice of route depends on frequency of arriva...

Estimation procedures for nonstationary Markov chains appear to be relatively sparse. This work introduces empirical  Bayes estimators  for the transition probability  matrix of a finite nonstationary  Markov chain. The data are assumed to be of  a panel study type in which each data set consists of a sequence of observations on N>=2 independent and identically dis...

in this paper by using the data related to the monthly precipitation of 13 stations situated in west azerbaijan province of iran in a time period of 34 years, monitoring and forecasting the probability of a drought occurrence is evaluated in next coming months. in this process, first the monthly precipitation amounts for each rainfall station are used in order to calculate the standardized prec...