Rowe and Wright’s paper "The Delphi Technique as a Forecasting Tool" was initially reviewed by four experts in the area of judgmental forecasting. Following three rounds of revisions, the paper was accepted for publication. It was then sent for commentary by Professors Ayton, Ferrell, and Stewart. The lead paper should be of interest to researchers because it identifies important aspects of the...

Formerly one of the Yugoslav republics, Slovenia declared its independence in June 1991. Together with Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Poland, Slovenia forms the group of leading IS technology markets among the new democracies in Central and Eastern Europe. The Delphi technique was used to compile a list of the key issues in information systems (IS) management in Slovenia, to quantify them, an...

The supply chains (SCs) have to appeal to new management paradigms to improve their ability to respond rapidly and cost effectively to unpredictable changes in markets and increasing levels of environmental turbulence, both in terms of volume and variety. In this highly demanded context, the Agile paradigm provides the capabilities to SC quickly adapt to changes in the market requirements. The ...

Identifying how insurgents disrupt established markets is a major challenge. In this paper we study the disruptive potential of Skype, which is an Internet start-up company and potential insurgent to the telecom market. Our analysis is composed of two parts. First, we describe a Delphi study based on an analytical instrument developed by Rafii and Kampas that shall help us to discover Skype’s d...

This paper presents a patient safety applicator tool for implementing and assessing patient safety systems in health care institutions. The applicator tool consists of critical processes and performance measures identified in the context of the 2003 Malcolm Baldrige National Quality Award (MBNQA) Health Care Criteria for Performance Excellence. The Delphi technique was used for gaining consensu...

Real Time Delphi (RTD) is an advanced online implementation of the Delphi Method (DM), designed to speed up the period of time needed to conduct a survey using nowadays internet technology. However its overall design is still very restricted and does not leverage the full potential for collaboration of this new Information and Communications Technology (ICT) channel. In this paper we propose tw...

The returns and risks of high-yield bond (HYB) lie between the stocks and Treasury bonds. In view of investment opportunities and the rate of return, the advantages of HYB are both lower risks and higher shares. Therefore, HYB has become one of important components in the portfolios. The purpose of this study is to identify critical factors related to the selection of HYB. Primary criteria to e...

To achieve the above we propose, through a numerical example, a methodology that uses in its first phase the Fuzzy-Delphi method, with a group of experts, to acomplish an estimation of the lifetime period of the client within an enterprise, expressed as a trapezoidal fuzzy number, and to get a better consensus of the previous result, as a second phase, we submit such information to another grou...

Various figures have stated that ERP (enterprise resource planning) systems have become one of the largest IT investments in recent years. The implementation of ERP system, however, is not an easy task. Previous research reports unusually high failure in ERP projects, sometimes jeopardizing the core operation of the implementing organization. The most famous case is FoxMeyer filed for Chapter 1...

The objective of this research is to investigate the managerial competences for Electronic Commerce professional managers. Three research approaches have been adopted here: Focus Group, Fuzzy Delphi Method. The results indicated that professional skills and leadership competence are more important than other competences such as administrative skills and motivation. Comparing the competences of ...