Polls for majoritarian voting systems usually show estimates of the percentage of votes for each candidate. However, proportional vote systems do not necessarily guarantee the candidate with the most percentage of votes will be elected. Thus, traditional methods used in majoritarian elections cannot be applied on proportional elections. In this context, the purpose of this paper was to perform ...

The multilayer perceptron (MLP) is a well established neural network model for supervised learning problems. Furthermore, it is well known that its performance for a given problem depends crucially on appropriately selecting the MLP architecture, which is typically achieved using cross-validation. In this work, we propose an incremental Bayesian methodology to address the important problem of a...

Penalized splines have become an increasingly popular tool for nonparametric smoothing because of their use of low-rank spline bases, which makes computations tractable while maintaining accuracy as good as smoothing splines. This article extends penalized spline methodology by both modeling the variance function nonparametrically and using a spatially adaptive smoothing parameter. This combina...

In this paper, we develop novel Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling methodology for Bayesian Cointegrated Vector Auto Regression (CVAR) models. Here we focus on two novel extensions to the sampling methodology for the CVAR posterior distribution. The first extension we develop replaces the popular sampling methodology of the griddy Gibbs sampler with an automated alternative which is based on an ...

This work presents a framework for emotion recognition, based in facial expression analysis using Bayesian Shape Models (BSM) for facial landmarking localization. The Facial Action Coding System (FACS) compliant facial feature tracking based on Bayesian Shape Model. The BSM estimate the parameters of the model with an implementation of the EM algorithm. We describe the characterization methodol...

The main purpose of this chapter is to emphasize the problem of e-government project risks and to introduce a methodology for risk assessment and calculation of costs associated with risk occurrence in e-government projects based on Bayesian networks. The proposed methodology presents a new approach to the assessment of risks and costs related to e-government project risks. As such, it facilita...

Bayesian network is a widely used tool for data analysis, modeling and decision support in various domains. There is a growing need for techniques and tools which can automatically construct Bayesian networks from massive text or literature data. In practice, Bayesian networks also need be updated when new data is observed, and literature mining is a very important source of new data after the ...

Biological and medical data have been growing exponentially over the past several years [1, 2]. In particular, proteomics has seen automation dramatically change the rate at which data are generated [3]. Analysis that systemically incorporates prior information is becoming essential to making inferences about the myriad, complex data [4-6]. A Bayesian approach can help capture such information ...