نتایج جستجو برای: autoـ regressive distributed lag model

تعداد نتایج: 2321170  

ژورنال: :پژوهش های اقتصادی ایران 0

این مطالعه به صورت تجربی، پویایی اثر منحنی j دو جانبه بین ایران و شش شریک منتخب تجاری اش (چین، فرانسه، آلمان، کره جنوبی، سوئیس و امارات متحده عربی) را با استفاده از داده های سری زمانی طی دوره زمانی 2005- 1979 بررسی می کند. اثرات کوتاه مدت و بلندمدت کاهش ارزش ریال بر تراز تجاری بین ایران و شش شریک تجاری اش با استفاده از روش اقتصاد سنجی الگوی خود رگرسیونی با وقفه­های توزیعی (ardl)[1] و الگوی تصحی...

ژورنال: :فصلنامه رفاه اجتماعی 0
علیرضا جرحرزاده alireza jorjorzadeh

مقدمه: ایران سومین کشور دارای منابع نفت در دنیا است و با وجود این ثروت طبیعی شرایط اقتصادی آن در مقایسه با بسیاری از کشورهای فاقد منابع طبیعی، نامطلوب تر است، به طوری که به نظر می رسد اصطلاح نفرین منابع [1] در مورد ایران مصداق یافته است. روش: این مقاله با استفاده از روش [2] ardl به بررسی وجود رابطه بین وفور منابع طبیعی و فقر در دوره زمانی1360 تا 1387 می پردازد. یافته ها: وفور منابع معدنی از طری...

2017
Amjad Ali Hafeez Ur Rehman AMJAD ALI

This study tries to answer the question, “has macroeconomic instability detrimental impact on gross domestic product of Pakistan over the period of 1980 to 2012?” For reviewing macroeconomic instability a comprehensive macroeconomic instability index is constructed by incorporating inflation rate, unemployment rate, trade deficit and budget deficit. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model h...

Journal: :Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice 2021

Abstract This study examined the nexus between monetary policy and achievement of a bank’s profit objective. There have been lots arguments about benefits implementation on deposit money operations, since policies seen to impact their performance. was carried out establish influence variables like Liquidity Ratio, Interest Money supply (M 2 ), which are used as instruments, bank profitability T...

Journal: :International Journal of Business and Society 2021

In this paper, we use daily administrative data from January 25, 2020 to December 31, examine the relationship between job losses and Malaysian lockdown measures. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach is used estimate both long-run short-run models. results of Bounds F-test for cointegration reveal that there a link government measures (both linear non-linear). positive associatio...

2010
Ping-Yu Chen Chia-Lin Chang Chi-Chung Chen Michael McAleer

The main purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effect of crude oil price on global fertilizer prices in both the mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, and alternative volatility models, including the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, an...

Journal: Iranian Economic Review 2014

One of the most significant discussion and challenges propounded in the macroeconomics is the effects of fluctuations of exchange rate on the macroeconomic variables (production, employment, inflation and … etc).In this direction, the important and noticeable point is the factors which lead to fluctuations in the exchange rate which, from amongst these factors as an example, is fluctuations in ...

Journal: Iranian Economic Review 2013
Rekha Sharma Shri Prakash,

This paper focuses on Indo-Iranian merchandise trade for a period of 30 years from1980-81 to 2009-10. The study is based on econometric modeling comprising 3 versions of the RWM model and alternative forms and specification of regression functions. RWM model(s) evaluates the stationary nature of time series data relating to GNP, Exports, Imports and total merchandise Indo-Iranian trade. Dickey-...

This study investigated the asymmetric effects of financial instability shocks on economic growth and monetary policy shocks on financial instability in Iran. For this purpose,data 1991:3 to 2017:1 and nonlinear auto-regressive distributed lag (NARDL) approach has been used. For this purpose, three models have been estimated. In the first model, the asymmetric effects of fiscal instability shoc...

Journal: :Statistics in Medicine 2010

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