Article history: Received 6 February 2008 Accepted 14 May 2008 Available online 20 May 2008 JEL classification: C63 G11 G31 G39

Article history: Received 29 July 2008 Accepted 29 August 2008 Available online 5 September 2008 JEL classification: G11 G10 C61 G19

Article history: Received 7 May 2012 Received in revised form 6 November 2012 Accepted 9 November 2012 Available online 17 November 2012 JEL classification: D81 Q40 G11

We examine the properties of several residual-based cointegration tests when long run parameters are subject to multiple shifts driven by an unobservable Markov process. Unlike earlier work, which considered one-o¤ deterministic breaks, our approach has the advantage of allowing for an unspeci…ed number of stochastic breaks. We illustrate this issue by exploring the possibility of Markov switch...

Two parallel analyses are carried out in order to assess the degree of integration of financial markets within Europe, within East Asia, between these two regions, and with the external financial community. The investigation is based on cointegration and Granger causality techniques, to detect the presence of short-run and long-run cross-country relationships in equity and bond markets. The emp...

We find that between 20 and 25 percent of the negative covariance between excess returns and inflation is explained by shocks to monetary policy variables. The finding is robust to changes in the monetary policy rule that have occured during the 1966-1998 period. The result contradicts the theory that money supply shocks induce a positive correlation between inflation and returns. Our findings ...

This paper examines the empirical relationship between trade and total factor productivity (TFP) in South Africa. Using data on actual trade protection across different manufacturing sectors, it is shown that trade liberalization had a positive impact on TFP growth during the 1990s. In addition, time-series evidence on macro data supports a positive long-run relationship between TFP and opennes...

We draw on portfolio theory and international diversification in order to analyse strategies allowing to reduce emerging economies’ exposure to exchange-rate risk. We show in particular that it may be efficient for an investor, in terms of maximising the return-to-risk ratio, to build up a portfolio of emerging-country assets denominated in local currency unhedged against currency risk compared...