in this paper, we have estimated the memory of thetehran stock exchange indices. the estimation of fractional differencing parameter is carried out by various methods such as mle, nls, hurst exponent, gph, lo, whittle and wavelet. the estimation results of whittle, wavelet, hurst, and lo methods allow us to conclude that the returns on stock indices (tepix, tedpix, tedix, financial index and in...

This paper examines the profitability of technical trading rules in the five Southeast Asian stock markets. The data cover a period of 14 years from January 2000 to December 2013. The instruments investigated are five Southeast Asian stock market indices: SET index (Thailand), FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLC index (Malaysia), FTSE Straits Times index (Singapore), JSX Composite index (Indonesia), and PS...

The use of intelligent systems for stock market predictions has been widely established. In this paper, we investigate how the seemingly chaotic behavior of stock markets could be well represented using Flexible Neural Tree (FNT) ensemble technique. We considered the Nasdaq-100 index of Nasdaq Stock Market and the S&P CNX NIFTY stock index. We analyzed 7-year Nasdaq-100 main index values and 4y...

The use of intelligent systems for stock market predictions has been widely established. In this paper, we investigate how the seemingly chaotic behavior of stock markets could be well represented using several connectionist paradigms and soft computing techniques. To demonstrate the different techniques, we considered Nasdaq-100 index of Nasdaq Stock Market and the S&P CNX NIFTY stock index. W...

The use of intelligent systems for stock market predictions has been widely established. In this paper, we investigate how the seemingly chaotic behavior of stock markets could be well represented using several connectionist paradigms and soft computing techniques. To demonstrate the different techniques, we considered Nasdaq-100 index of Nasdaq Stock Market and the S&P CNX NIFTY stock index. W...

Should the national economy lead the stock market or the other way round? Using co-integration test and Granger causality test, this paper analyzes the relationship between the stock index and the national economy in the case of China. The result of the empirical analysis indicates that there is no co-integration relationship between the stock index and the national economy in China. In additio...

This paper examines the causal relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic aggregates in Iran, by applying the techniques of the long–run Granger non–causality test proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). We test the causal relationships between the TEPIX Index and the three macroeconomic variables: money supply, value of trade balance, and industrial production using quarterly data for t...

Prediction of the movement of stock market is a long-time attractive topic to researchers from different fields. The Hang Seng Index (abbreviated: HSI) is a free float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted stock market index in Hong Kong. We believe the HSI is influenced by other major financial indexes across the world and try different machine learning method to get a prediction based on th...

With trend of globalization in the international financial market, a more intimate relationship of capital flows is being formed day by day in capital market. Thus, it is important to understand the relationship of individual country with others in the international stock markets. The main purpose of this study is to explore the relationship of Stock Indices among China, US, and Japan. The stud...