This paper proposes a hybrid method to find cumulative distribution function (CDF) of completion time of GERT-type networks (GTN) which have no loop and have only exclusive-or nodes. Proposed method is cre-ated by combining an analytical transformation with Gaussian quadrature formula. Also the combined crude Monte Carlo simulation and combined conditional Monte Carlo simulation are developed a...

the length of equal minimal and maximal blocks has eected on logarithm-scale logarithm against sequential function on variance and bias of de-trended uctuation analysis, by using quasi monte carlo(qmc) simulation and cholesky decompositions, minimal block couple and maximal are founded which are minimum the summation of mean error square in horest power.

deregulation policy has caused some changes in the concepts of power systems reliability assessment and enhancement. in this paper, generation reliability is considered, and a method for its assessment using intelligent systems is proposed. also, because of power market and generators’ forced outages stochastic behavior, monte carlo simulation is used for reliability evaluation. generation r...

in this paper, we examine the effect of the energy difference between the l- and the -valleys in compound semiconductor materials, carrier effective mass, and the scattering processes on the electron transport characteristics in mesfets. to do this, we use the monte carlo simulation to demonstrate the superiority of the ingaas mesfet, made on a semi-insulating inp substrate, over both inp and ...

this paper proposes a method for ranking decision making units (dmus) using some of the multiple criteria decision making / multiple attribute decision making          (mcdm /madm) techniques, namely, interval analytic hierarchy process (iahp)          and the technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (topsis).          since the efficiency score of unity is assigned to ...

this paper aims to evaluate inventory cost of a two-echelon serial supply chain system under vendor managed inventory program with stochastic demand, and examine the effect of environmental factors on the cost of overall system. for this purpose, we consider a two-echelon serial supply chain with a manufacturer and a retailer. under vendor managed inventory program, the decision on inventory le...

agricultural drought has resulted in great damage to iran in recent years and it is crucial to cope with this adversity through logical management. one attempt in this regard is to compare affected sites and prioritize them for action plans. this paper develops a methodology for agricultural drought risk analysis based on rain-fed wheat data from kermanshah province and employs it to compare af...

performing a probabilistic study rather than a determinist one is a relatively easy way to quantify the uncertainty in an engineering design. due to the complexity and poor accuracy of the statistical moment methods, the monte carlo simulation (mcs) method is wildly used in an engineering design. in this work, an mcs-based reliability analysis was carried out for the stability of the chain pill...

one of the most important parameters used for determining the performance of tunnel boring machines (tbms) is their penetration rate. the parameters affecting the penetration rate can be divided in two categories. the first category is the controllable parameters such as the tbm technical characteristics, and type and geometry of the tunnel, and the second one is the uncontrollable parameters s...

background: the purpose of this study was to investigate the application of the monte carlo technique to calculate and analysis of dosimetric parameters for electron beams used in radiotherapy. this technique is based on statistical method and has a powerful role in different radiotherapy aspects. materials and methods: the simulated medical linear accelerator was the varian clinac 2100c. the e...