A continuous time econometric modelling framework for multivariate financial market event (or ‘transactions’) data is developed in which the model is specified via the vector conditional intensity. Generalised Hawkes models are introduced that incorporate inhibitory events and dependence between trading days. Novel omnibus specification tests based on a multivariate random time change theorem a...

the main objective of this article is to present a comparative study of capital assets pricing models (capm) with extrapolating capital assets pricing models (x-capm) of companies admitted in tehran exchange market which is accomplished for the first time by investigators of this research in iran. accordingly, the statistical population under study of this research includes all companies admitt...

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate. This agent-based viewpoint in finance goes back at least to the work of Garman (1976) and shares the philosophy of statistical mechanics in the physical scien...

K e y w o r d s: market microstructure, day-of-the-week effect, liquidity, turnover, HAC, GARCH, Warsaw Stock Exchange. J E L Classification: C10, C58, G10, G12.

If efficient asset prices follow a semi-martingale and are perfectly observed, their quadratic variation can be measured accurately from the sum of a large number of squared returns sampled over very finely spaced intervals, i.e., realized variance (Andersen et al., 2003, and Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard, 2002). With the emergence of high-frequency data, it seems that we should be able to ide...

In this chapter, we overview the uses of machine learning for high frequency trading and market microstructure data and problems. Machine learning is a vibrant subfield of computer science that draws on models and methods from statistics, algorithms, computational complexity, artificial intelligence, control theory, and a variety of other disciplines. Its primary focus is on computationally and...

This thesis seeks to contribute to the understanding of markets populated by boundedly rational agents who learn from experience. Bounded rationality and learning have both been the focus of much research in computer science, economics and finance theory. However, we are at a critical stage in defining the direction of future research in these areas. It is now clear that realistic learning prob...

The Iowa Electronic Markets are small, real-money financial markets designed to aggregate information about future events. The market microstructure of these markets is studied and a market making model is developed to provide liquidity for one set of securities offered by this exchange. A computer program was created to employ the market making model and profit from the market’s inefficiencies...

In this paper, we study predictability of exchange rates and explore determinants of its dynamics over time. We model the admissible amount of predictability in two ways, each corresponding in a stylized manner to a broad class of rational currency pricing models, namely those under which the marginal currency trader can diversify away currency risk and alternative specifications under which th...