هدف: اهتمام به خط‌مشی‌گذاری سالم و نافذ، کاری بسیار دشوار است، همین دلیل لزوم ایجاد آزمایشگاه برای تدوین، اجرا ارزیابی خط‌مشی‌های طراحی‌شده در جامعه، اهمیت می‌یابد. بنابراین، هدف از پژوهش حاضر تبیین الگوی طراحی خط‌مشی است. روش‌شناسی: این پژوهش، با رویکرد کیفی فراترکیب طی گام‌های هفت‌گانه‌، تحلیل یافته‌های پیشین پرداخته شده پژوهش: قالب 8 مقوله اصلی شامل تشخیص مشکل خط‌مشی، کارکنان ذی‌نفعان نقش حک...

We present a framework for computational analysis of reachable futures, centred on the analysis of uncertainty, in which stakeholder participation is integral to generating environmental foresight. In our case study, we examine the long-term ecological behaviour of Lake Lanier, Georgia, south-eastern USA. We elicit stakeholders' fears and desires for the future state of the reservoir during a f...

Most companies generate little drama as they manage the daily tension of their uncertain futures. And they rather like it that way, since forecasting errors can generate bad publicity. After the fact, it is usually easy to understand why a calculated gamble failed due to a bit of bad luck. It is more difficult to identify a mistake for which management is responsible. In this column, I’ll focus...

Within the literature on decision-making, information and communication technologies (ICT) and associated theories such as the Information Richness Theory (Daft and Lengel, 1986), there is little focus on the urgent decision-making process, particularly the role of ICT in these situations. This study examines how members of a senior management team in the New Zealand public sector make decision...

Technology-led innovation represents an important driver of European economic and industrial competitiveness and offers solutions to societal challenges. In order to facilitate responsible innovation and public acceptance, a need exists to identify and implement oversight approaches focused on the effective risk governance of emerging technologies. This article describes a foresight study on th...

Article history: Received 7 May 2011 Received in revised form 3 November 2012 Accepted 16 January 2013 Available online 26 January 2013 We analyze how gender and age, internal characteristics of retail futures traders—one that remains fixed while the other changes over a lifetime—and the security being traded and bull– bear market conditions, two external factors, are related to the disposition...