Suppose that the equity premium is forecasted by dividend yields. Even if such a relationship does exist, there is so much noise in the equity premium that estimation, inference and forecasting cannot be carried out using the faint signal coming from the dividend yields. For analyzing equity/dividend data, it is useful to quantify the signal in a given sample. We de…ne an index of signal streng...

Fama and French [2002. The equity premium. Journal of Finance 57, 637–659] estimate the equity premium using dividend growth rates to measure expected rates of capital gain. We apply their method to study the value premium. From 1945 to 2005, the expected value premium is on average 6.1% per annum, consisting of an expected dividend growth component of 4.4% and an expected dividend price ratio ...

This paper investigates the relation between mutual fund flows and the real economy. The findings of this paper support the theory that the positive co-movement of flows into equity funds and stock market returns is explained by a common response to macroeconomic news. Variables that predict the real economy as well as the equity premium – in particular dividend-price ratio, default spread, rel...

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui perbedaan kinerja keuangan sebelum dan saat Pandemi Covid-19 pada perusahaan consumer non-cyclicals periode 2019-2020. menggunakan metode kuantitatif. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian adalah data skunder dihitung uji Wilcoxon signed test karena berdistribusi tidak normal. Pengujian dilakukan terhadap 5 rasio yaitu Current Ratio, Debt to Equity Total...

We develop an agency model of financial contracting. We derive long-term debt, a line of credit, and equity as optimal securities, capturing the debt coupon and maturity; the interest rate and limits on the credit line; inside versus outside equity; dividend policy; and capital structure dynamics. The optimal debt-equity ratio is history dependent, but debt and credit line terms are independent...