نتایج جستجو برای: electricity price forecast

تعداد نتایج: 151580  

2015
Faisal Mehmood Mirza Olvar Bergland

a r t i c l e i n f o JEL classification: D82 D83 Q49 L11 L12 L94 Keywords: Price pass-through Norwegian electricity market Price asymmetry Market power Transmission lag In this paper we estimate the pass-through of wholesale electricity price to the end consumer price with variable price contracts in the Norwegian electricity market using weekly data. We find substantial asymmetry when retaile...

Ahmad Makui Ashkan Hafezalkotob Meysam Ghaffari

This paper investigates three models to implement Tradable Green Certificates (TGC) system with aid of game theory approach. In particular, the competition between thermal and renewable power plants is formulated in three models: namely cooperative, Nash and Stackelberg game models. The price of TGC is assumed to be determined by the legislative body (government) which is fixed. Numerical examp...

2012
G. Shi X. Zheng F. Song

Residential demand for electricity is estimated for China using a unique household level dataset. Household electricity demand is specified as a function of local electricity price, household income, and a number of social-economic variables at household level. We find that the residential demand for electricity responds rather sensitively to its own price in China, which implies that there is ...

2012
S. Anbazhagan N. Kumarappan

There is a general consensus that the movement of electricity price is crucial for electricity market. The binary electricity price classification method is as an alternative to numerical electricity price forecasting due to high forecasting errors in various approaches. This paper proposes a binary classification of day-ahead electricity prices that could be realized using discrete cosine tran...

2014
Marin Cerjan Marin Matijaš Marko Delimar

Accurate forecasting tools are essential in the operation of electric power systems, especially in deregulated electricity markets. Electricity price forecasting is necessary for all market participants to optimize their portfolios. In this paper we propose a hybrid method approach for short-term hourly electricity price forecasting. The paper combines statistical techniques for pre-processing ...

2005
James W. Taylor Roberto Buizza

Weather forecasts are an important input to many electricity demand forecasting models. This study investigates the use of weather ensemble predictions in electricity demand forecasting for lead times from one to 10 days ahead. A weather ensemble prediction consists of 51 scenarios for a weather variable. We use these scenarios to produce 51 scenarios for the weather-related component of electr...

2006
Hamidreza Zareipour Kankar Bhattacharya Claudio A. Cañizares

Price volatility analysis has been reported in the literature for most competitive electricity markets around the world. However, no studies have been published yet that quantify price volatility in the Ontario electricity market, which is the focus of the present paper. In this paper, a comparative volatility analysis is conducted for the Ontario market and its neighboring electricity markets....

2015
Zhaoyang Duan Guiping Hu Sarah Ryan James McCalley Mervyn Marasinghe

This thesis consists of three journal papers that I have been worked on during my PhD program of study. The first paper presents heuristic algorithms that are designed to be implemented and executed in parallel with an existing algorithm in order to overcome its two limitations. Computational experiments show that implementing the heuristic algorithm on one auxiliary processor in parallel with ...

2005
Yumi Oum Shmuel Oren Shijie Deng

This paper addresses quantity risk in the electricity market and explores several ways of managing such risk. The paper also addresses the hedging problem of a load-serving entity, which provides electricity service at a regulated price in electricity markets with price and quantity risk. Exploiting the correlation between consumption volume and spot price of electricity, an optimal zero-cost h...

2012
Le Xie Yingzhong Gu Ali Eskandari Mehrdad Ehsani

In this paper, a model predictive control (MPC)-based coordinated scheduling framework for variable wind generation and battery energy storage systems (BESSs) is presented. On the basis of the short-term forecast of available wind generation and price information, a joint look-ahead optimization is performed by the wind farm and storage system to determine their net power injection to the elect...

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