This paper provides clear cut evidence that the slope and curvature factors of the yield curve contain more information about future changes in economic activity than the term spread alone, often used in practice as an indicator of future economic conditions. These two factors constitute independent sources of information about future economic activity, which are o¤set to each other in term spr...

This study investigates how consumers value carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions of food by conducting a choice experiment before an ecolabel is attached on some foods in Japan. Participants are asked to buy some Satsuma mandarin oranges based on price and CO2 emissions and take them home. The following results are obtained: (i) the willingness-to-pay (WTP) estimate for the reduction of 1 g CO2 emiss...

trade linearization according to scale, composite, and technology effects, changes the environment quality. on the other hand, trade liberalization, increases capital flow in the world. based on pollution haven hypothesis, polluted intensive industries move from the countries with stringent environmental policies to those with more relaxed environmental policies. in order to evaluate the effect...

Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying analysis cycles. In this paper, we review recent empirical theoretical literature that motivates paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis (or “scarring” parlance) has sparked by pe...

La necesidad de energía la población ha originado con el paso los años problemas contaminación ambiental asociados al uso combustibles origen fósil. bioenergía es una alternativa que diversos países han propuesto para disminuir volumen gases contaminantes a atmósfera; biodiésel y bioetanol son presentan mayores ventajas comerciales en mundo, aparte necesarios cumplimiento acuerdos internacional...

This paper provides the first estimates of purchasing power parity (PPP) converters from the production side between China and the UK for the early 1910s. It gives a new starting point to evaluate the economic development in pre-modern China during the early industrialization since the late 19 th century. The estimated PPPs for manufacturing industries provide relative levels of producer prices...

Equilibrium Wage and Employment Dynamics in a Model of Wage Posting without Commitment A rich but tractable variant of the Burdett-Mortensen model of wage setting behavior is formulated and a dynamic market equilibrium solution to the model is defined and characterized. In the model, firms cannot commit to wage contracts. Instead, the Markov perfect equilibrium to the wage setting game, charact...

This paper uses factor analytic methods to decompose industrial production (IP) into components arising from aggregate shocks and idiosyncratic sector-specific shocks. An approximate factor model finds that nearly all (90%) of the variability of quarterly growth rates in IP are associated with common factors. Because common factors may reflect sectoral shocks that have propagated by way of inpu...

We show theoretically and empirically how real and financial frictions amplify the impact of uncertainty shocks on firms’investment, employment, debt (term structure of debt growth), and cash holding. We start by building a model with real and financial frictions, alongside uncertainty shocks, and show how adding financial frictions to the model almost doubles the negative impact of uncertainty...

A considerable body of economic literature shows the adverse economic impacts of oil-price shocks for the developed economies. However, there has been a lack of empirical study of this kind on China and other developing countries. This paper attempts to fill this gap by answering how and to what extent oil-price shocks impact China’s economy, emphasizing on the price transmission mechanisms. To...