An Elaboration of the Dynamic Growth Pattern of Iran’s Share in Regional Natural Gas Trade through Factor Prioritization, Using Network Analysis

This study presents a strategic viewpoint of the dynamic growth pattern of Iran’s share in regional natural gas trade, through factor prioritization, using network analysis. The study is an exploratory one, which falls under the cross-sectional category based on its research method and time frame for gathering pertinent data. This study has been conducted over the period 2019 to 2020. The main means of data gathering are semi-structured interviews, the Dematel questionnaire, and the Analytical Network Process. The statistical population of this study includes experts in theory (university professors) and experts in practice (managers of the National Iranian Gas Company). 15 qualified experts were selected for this study through non-probabilistic purposeful sampling methods, and the research indicators were identified using qualitative data analysis methods. Subsequently, considering the mutual impact among the main criteria and the sub-criteria, the Dematel method was used to determine the relationship pattern(s).  The ANP method was used to rank the strategic factors in the dynamic growth of the share of Iran in gas trade. The results indicate that diplomatic and political factors are the most important factors affecting this share. The development of the necessary technology for converting natural gas to liquid gas (LNG) is the second most important determinant. Additionally, quality of customer relations and long-term plans for exporting gas are also indicators of great importance. JEL Classification:  J49 , O32 , M31, Q47, P48 Keywords: Strategic Analysis, Dynamic Growth, Gas Trade Share, Network Analysis, Fuzzy Dematel Technique