Evaluation of physical-economic resilience of region 12 of Tehran in the face of earthquake

Authors

  • Azimi Amoli, jalal Associate Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, Islamic Azad University, Noor Branch
  • ghadami, mostafa Associate Professor of Geography and Urban Planning, Mazandaran University - Babolsar
  • Mohagheghi, parisa PhD student in Geography and Urban Planning, Islamic Azad University, Noor Branch (Mazandaran),
Abstract:

Aims& Backgrounds: Studies in the field of natural hazards, especially earthquakes, in recent decades have shown that the best way to deal with hazards is to improve resilience in various dimensions. Therefore, recognizing the resilience of the current situation plays a vital role in reducing the vulnerability of cities. Methodology: The present study is applied in terms of purpose and descriptive-analytical in terms of method. Documentary library method was used for data collection and Anselin local Morans model, FANP, and ARC GIS software were used for data analysis. Findings: The process of factor analysis in determining the classification of effective indicators of resilience indicates that respectively traffic and access network (4.261), building condition (3.925), land uses (3.218), economic stability (3.211) Density (3.002), and characteristics of the substrate (10544) are the most influential factors. On the other hand, using Anselin local Moran's, the resilience of District 12 of Tehran was classified into five spectra. Accordingly, 53.13 percent, (8895457 square meters) of the physical tissue of the study area is in very low resilience status. Conclusion: There is a significant difference in terms of resilience between the six regions of Region 12. In terms of physical resilience, zones six and one have the highest resilience and zone three has the lowest resilience. In terms of economic resilience, Bazaar, Baharestan and Mokhtari neighborhoods have the best situation and Pamanar and Harandi neighborhoods have the worst situation. In general, it can be said that the southern regions of the region are in a very low resilience situation compared to the northern regions, which requires rapid planning to increase resilience.

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Journal title

volume 37  issue 3

pages  1- 16

publication date 2022-07

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