Comparison of Tourism Placement and Development Models from Land Use Planning perspective in Zagros Forests Case Study: Javanrud County

While in recent years, due to numerous reasons, the amount of travel and tourism has increased, the amount of problems caused by this activity is also considered by managers. By using presence points of tourists in Javanrud County, Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and Random Forest (RF) models, the conditions of establishment of tourists from the aspect of land use planning was investigated. In the RF model, using the presence points of tourists and the 9 effective variables on establishment of the tourist, desirable areas for deployment in the entire the County were investigated. Then, using AHP, suitable areas for the establishment of tourists from the viewpoint of land use planning was investigated. Validation of models was done using ROC statistics. Identification of the threshold of suitability was performed using a Yeadon index. Based on the results of sensitivity in the RF model, the variables of distance from the road, distance from the city and distance from the security benchmark (police and rescue station) have had the greatest impact on the establishment of the tourist. Based on the results of AHP model, distance from the city, slope and distance from the road have involved in developing of the model. The results of model validation were calculated equal to 0.92 for the random forest method and 0.93 for the AHP. 73.14 km2 in random forest, 53.203 km2 in a hierarchical analysis method and 67 km2 in common has suitability for the establishment. Also, an area equal to 6 km2 based on results of random forest model lacks the required criteria for establishment.