Analysis and evaluation of human resources risks in the higher education system: Lorestan Islamic Azad University case

Abstract The lack of precise definition and proper analysis of HR risks not only impedes human resource management, but also undermines the organization's performance. By identifying and confronting human resources risks, the organization can mutually bring individual and organizational excellence. Therefore, the present study was conducted with the aim of identifying and evaluating human resources risks in the higher education. This mixed research method was based on qualitative and quantitative inductive-deductive approach. The statistical population of the study were 30 experts who were selected using snowball method and theoretical adequacy principle. In the qualitative section, the data-gathering tool was interview. In the qualitative section, a questionnaire was used for data-gathering. The validity and reliability of the interview and questionnaire were confirmed by CVR index and Kappa Kohn test, and content validity and reliability of the retest. Qualitative data was analyzed using Atlas.ti software, coding method and quantitative data were analyzed using Delphi Fuzzy method. The results of the research consisted of identification of human resources risks and prioritization of them. The results of the research showed that the most important identified risks were knowledge abolition and human resource skills, non-professional career development, human capital erosion, job plateau and lack of creativity and innovation of human resources.