Urban Resilience of Shenzhen City under Climate Change

نویسندگان

چکیده

The Chinese government attaches great importance to climate change adaptation and has issued relevant strategies policies. Overall, China’s action adapt remains in its infancy, research needs be further deepened. In this paper, we study the future adaptive countermeasures of Shenzhen city Pearl River Delta terms change, especially urban flood risk resilience. Based on background investigation Shenzhen, paper calculates annual precipitation frequency from 1953 2020, uses extreme index as a quantitative indicator analyze changes historical impact major disasters previous decades. six kinds model data scenario Model Inter-comparison Project (MIP) sixth phase Coupled (CMIP6), Taylor diagram MR comprehensive evaluation method evaluate ability different models simulate selected are aggregated averaged predict trend 2020 2100. prediction results show that will face more severe threats rainstorms floods future. Therefore, proposes resilience strategy for cope with threat future, including constructing smart water management system promoting development sponge city. Moreover, certain extent, it is necessary realize transfer by insurance system.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Atmosphere

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['2073-4433']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos12050537