Physicists, stamp collectors, human mobility forecasters

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود رایگان متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Testing Multiple Forecasters∗

We consider a cross-calibration test of predictions by multiple potential experts in a stochastic environment. This test checks whether each expert is calibrated conditional on the predictions made by other experts. We show that this test is good in the sense that a true expert—one informed of the true distribution of the process—is guaranteed to pass the test no matter what the other potential...

متن کامل

Forecasters ’ Objectives and Strategies ∗

This chapter develops a unified modeling framework for analyzing the strategic behavior of forecasters. The theoretical model encompasses reputational objectives, competition for the best accuracy, and bias. Also drawing from the extensive literature on analysts, we review the empirical evidence on strategic forecasting and illustrate how our model can be structurally estimated.

متن کامل

Radiological physicists

JUAN A. DEL REGATO, Radiologicalphysicists, New York, American Institute ofPhysics for the American Association of Physicists in Medicine, 1985, 4to, pp. v, 188, illus., $25.00. Radiology provided perhaps the main route by which physicists entered medicine in the period leading up the Second World War. Among other things, they were needed to develop and service X-ray and radium equipment; to de...

متن کامل

Macroeconomic forecasts and microeconomic forecasters

In the presence of principal-agent problems, published macroeconomic forecasts by professional economists may not measure expectations. Forecasters may use their forecasts in order to manipulate beliefs about their ability. I test a cross-sectional implication of models of reputation and information-revelation. I find that as forecasters become older and more established, they produce more radi...

متن کامل

Agent-based Alerting for Forecasters

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology headquartered in Melbourne is the national weather service of Australia. It has a strong need for complex and evolving systems for managing its weather forecasting, monitoring and alerts and is currently in the process of developing a sophisticated software system in which intelligent agents play a significant role. There are a number of challenges to be met...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Corvinus Journal of Sociology and Social Policy

سال: 2010

ISSN: 2062-087X

DOI: 10.14267/cjssp.2010.02.07